Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance and local DWD outlooks, indicate a mostly sunny pattern over southern Germany with daytime maxima near 23–25°C on August 24, driven by stable high pressure and light easterly flow. This aligns closely with Munich’s late-August climatology, where average highs range 23–25°C and extremes above 28°C are uncommon without strong advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 24°C (37.5%) and 23°C (26%) contracts, captures this model agreement and minimal day-to-day variability expected before resolution, while lower probabilities on 25°C+ outcomes account for slight ensemble spread and typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature verification. No major synoptic shifts are projected in the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 37%
23°C 25%
25°C 20%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
37%
25°C
20%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
4%
24°C 37%
23°C 25%
25°C 20%
22°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$5 KL.
1%
19°C
$5 KL.
1%
20°C
$5 KL.
1%
21°C
$0 KL.
2%
22°C
$186 KL.
10%
23°C
$434 KL.
25%
24°C
$104 KL.
37%
25°C
$38 KL.
20%
26°C
$0 KL.
2%
27°C
$20 KL.
2%
28°C or higher
$5 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance and local DWD outlooks, indicate a mostly sunny pattern over southern Germany with daytime maxima near 23–25°C on August 24, driven by stable high pressure and light easterly flow. This aligns closely with Munich’s late-August climatology, where average highs range 23–25°C and extremes above 28°C are uncommon without strong advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 24°C (37.5%) and 23°C (26%) contracts, captures this model agreement and minimal day-to-day variability expected before resolution, while lower probabilities on 25°C+ outcomes account for slight ensemble spread and typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature verification. No major synoptic shifts are projected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$802Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance and local DWD outlooks, indicate a mostly sunny pattern over southern Germany with daytime maxima near 23–25°C on August 24, driven by stable high pressure and light easterly flow. This aligns closely with Munich’s late-August climatology, where average highs range 23–25°C and extremes above 28°C are uncommon without strong advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 24°C (37.5%) and 23°C (26%) contracts, captures this model agreement and minimal day-to-day variability expected before resolution, while lower probabilities on 25°C+ outcomes account for slight ensemble spread and typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature verification. No major synoptic shifts are projected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$802Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF guidance and local DWD outlooks, indicate a mostly sunny pattern over southern Germany with daytime maxima near 23–25°C on August 24, driven by stable high pressure and light easterly flow. This aligns closely with Munich’s late-August climatology, where average highs range 23–25°C and extremes above 28°C are uncommon without strong advection. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 24°C (37.5%) and 23°C (26%) contracts, captures this model agreement and minimal day-to-day variability expected before resolution, while lower probabilities on 25°C+ outcomes account for slight ensemble spread and typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature verification. No major synoptic shifts are projected in the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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