Recent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to persistent summer conditions over Jinan, with southerly flow and limited cold-air advection keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s°C range on August 23. Thunderstorm activity and associated evaporative cooling or brief northerly shifts introduce localized variability, yet climatological baselines show August minima typically near 21–22°C with rare excursions below 18°C. The near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes reflects trader weighting of short-term model spread versus the low historical probability of significant cooling this late in the season, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
12°C or below 50%
18°C 37%
20°C 37%
21°C 37%
12°C or below
50%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
37%
19°C
36%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C or higher
-
12°C or below 50%
18°C 37%
20°C 37%
21°C 37%
12°C or below
50%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
36%
16°C
36%
17°C
36%
18°C
37%
19°C
36%
20°C
37%
21°C
37%
22°C or higher
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological agencies points to persistent summer conditions over Jinan, with southerly flow and limited cold-air advection keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s°C range on August 23. Thunderstorm activity and associated evaporative cooling or brief northerly shifts introduce localized variability, yet climatological baselines show August minima typically near 21–22°C with rare excursions below 18°C. The near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes reflects trader weighting of short-term model spread versus the low historical probability of significant cooling this late in the season, with resolution hinging on the final verified minimum from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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