Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through August 23, indicate a weak easterly flow and limited daytime cloud cover over the Po Valley, supporting a daytime maximum near 29°C for Milan on August 24. Dew points around 17–18°C and light southeast winds are expected to limit evaporative cooling while allowing sufficient solar heating before evening convection develops. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C at 47.5%, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C outcomes. Minor model spread arises from uncertain afternoon thunderstorm timing and urban heat-island effects, though official guidance shows little deviation from the 28–29°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 24?
29°C 48%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
27°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
22%
29°C
48%
30°C
21%
31°C or higher
4%
29°C 48%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
27°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$335 KL.
<1%
22°C
$351 KL.
<1%
23°C
$358 KL.
<1%
24°C
$357 KL.
<1%
25°C
$308 KL.
1%
26°C
$379 KL.
2%
27°C
$722 KL.
5%
28°C
$1,512 KL.
22%
29°C
$1,667 KL.
48%
30°C
$1,166 KL.
21%
31°C or higher
$488 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through August 23, indicate a weak easterly flow and limited daytime cloud cover over the Po Valley, supporting a daytime maximum near 29°C for Milan on August 24. Dew points around 17–18°C and light southeast winds are expected to limit evaporative cooling while allowing sufficient solar heating before evening convection develops. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C at 47.5%, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C outcomes. Minor model spread arises from uncertain afternoon thunderstorm timing and urban heat-island effects, though official guidance shows little deviation from the 28–29°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,644Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through August 23, indicate a weak easterly flow and limited daytime cloud cover over the Po Valley, supporting a daytime maximum near 29°C for Milan on August 24. Dew points around 17–18°C and light southeast winds are expected to limit evaporative cooling while allowing sufficient solar heating before evening convection develops. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C at 47.5%, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C outcomes. Minor model spread arises from uncertain afternoon thunderstorm timing and urban heat-island effects, though official guidance shows little deviation from the 28–29°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,644Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated through August 23, indicate a weak easterly flow and limited daytime cloud cover over the Po Valley, supporting a daytime maximum near 29°C for Milan on August 24. Dew points around 17–18°C and light southeast winds are expected to limit evaporative cooling while allowing sufficient solar heating before evening convection develops. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 29°C at 47.5%, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C outcomes. Minor model spread arises from uncertain afternoon thunderstorm timing and urban heat-island effects, though official guidance shows little deviation from the 28–29°C range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp