Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources converge on a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for Manila on August 25, reflecting the dominant southwest monsoon (Habagat) pattern that delivers persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds. These conditions limit daytime heating while El Niño-related warming in the Pacific provides a slightly elevated baseline compared with historical August averages near 31°C. Recent PAGASA outlooks show daily ranges of 26–32°C across Metro Manila, with high humidity and precipitation chances keeping extremes unlikely. Trader consensus on the two leading outcomes aligns with this narrow forecast envelope, where small differences in cloud timing or storm intensity will determine the final recorded high at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 25?
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
30°C 14%
33°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
30°C 14%
33°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
5%
30°C
14%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources converge on a maximum temperature of 31–32°C for Manila on August 25, reflecting the dominant southwest monsoon (Habagat) pattern that delivers persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds. These conditions limit daytime heating while El Niño-related warming in the Pacific provides a slightly elevated baseline compared with historical August averages near 31°C. Recent PAGASA outlooks show daily ranges of 26–32°C across Metro Manila, with high humidity and precipitation chances keeping extremes unlikely. Trader consensus on the two leading outcomes aligns with this narrow forecast envelope, where small differences in cloud timing or storm intensity will determine the final recorded high at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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