NASA's Center for Near-Earth Object Studies continuously monitors all cataloged near-Earth objects with its Sentry impact-monitoring system, confirming no large asteroids or comets on trajectories that could deliver a 10-kiloton or greater airburst in 2026. This assessment aligns with the absence of qualifying bolide events through mid-year in the agency's fireball database, where only minor detections under 0.25 kt have occurred. Recent close approaches by small objects like 2026 FM3 and ongoing refinements to orbital models further reduce uncertainty, reinforcing trader consensus around the low historical frequency of such strikes. Key catalysts include any new detections from ground telescopes or space-based surveys that could alter short-term risk profiles before year-end.