Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 86.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its recent S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—dwarfing rivals amid Starship milestones and Starlink's subscriber growth to over 10 million. The February merger with xAI, integrating Grok chatbot capabilities for enterprise revenue (recently tested with Wall Street firms), bolsters its tech appeal, explaining xAI's 25.5% secondary odds despite restructuring. Anthropic's Q4 2026 IPO discussions yield 9.5%, but OpenAI's trajectory dimmed after CFO signals for a 2027 delay amid high spending and uneven revenue post-$122 billion funding round. Watch SpaceX's Nasdaq listing and index inclusion catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIPO lớn nhất theo vốn hóa thị trường vào năm 2026?
IPO lớn nhất theo vốn hóa thị trường vào năm 2026?
SpaceX 87%
Anthropic 9.5%
OpenAI 2.9%
Kraken <1%
$1,836,154 KL.
$1,836,154 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
87%
Anthropic
10%
OpenAI
3%
Kraken
<1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 87%
Anthropic 9.5%
OpenAI 2.9%
Kraken <1%
$1,836,154 KL.
$1,836,154 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$223,678 KL.
87%
Anthropic
$357,767 KL.
10%
OpenAI
$331,172 KL.
3%
Kraken
$384,043 KL.
<1%
Discord
$78,761 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$96,392 KL.
<1%
Stripe
$47,858 KL.
<1%
SHEIN
$67,554 KL.
<1%
Waymo
$56,444 KL.
<1%
Revolut
$47,136 KL.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$63,496 KL.
<1%
Databricks
$81,852 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 86.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its recent S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—dwarfing rivals amid Starship milestones and Starlink's subscriber growth to over 10 million. The February merger with xAI, integrating Grok chatbot capabilities for enterprise revenue (recently tested with Wall Street firms), bolsters its tech appeal, explaining xAI's 25.5% secondary odds despite restructuring. Anthropic's Q4 2026 IPO discussions yield 9.5%, but OpenAI's trajectory dimmed after CFO signals for a 2027 delay amid high spending and uneven revenue post-$122 billion funding round. Watch SpaceX's Nasdaq listing and index inclusion catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,836,154Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 86.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its recent S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—dwarfing rivals amid Starship milestones and Starlink's subscriber growth to over 10 million. The February merger with xAI, integrating Grok chatbot capabilities for enterprise revenue (recently tested with Wall Street firms), bolsters its tech appeal, explaining xAI's 25.5% secondary odds despite restructuring. Anthropic's Q4 2026 IPO discussions yield 9.5%, but OpenAI's trajectory dimmed after CFO signals for a 2027 delay amid high spending and uneven revenue post-$122 billion funding round. Watch SpaceX's Nasdaq listing and index inclusion catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$1,836,154Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors SpaceX at 86.5% implied probability for the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, driven by its recent S-1 filing targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation—dwarfing rivals amid Starship milestones and Starlink's subscriber growth to over 10 million. The February merger with xAI, integrating Grok chatbot capabilities for enterprise revenue (recently tested with Wall Street firms), bolsters its tech appeal, explaining xAI's 25.5% secondary odds despite restructuring. Anthropic's Q4 2026 IPO discussions yield 9.5%, but OpenAI's trajectory dimmed after CFO signals for a 2027 delay amid high spending and uneven revenue post-$122 billion funding round. Watch SpaceX's Nasdaq listing and index inclusion catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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