Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), confirmed by USDA APHIS, show rapid northward expansion from Mexico, with the first U.S. case in a Zavala County, Texas calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties plus a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. Ongoing sterile insect releases, expanded surveillance zones, and import restrictions aim to contain the parasite, whose larvae infest wounds in cattle, goats, and other livestock. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether NWS will establish in livestock outside Texas before resolution criteria are met, driven by model consensus on migration patterns, historical eradication success since the 1960s, and upcoming weekly APHIS case updates that could shift implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtConfirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...
MỚI
June 30
42%
August 30
52%
October 31
41%
December 31
50%
$677 KL.
June 30
$354 KL.
42%
August 30
$323 KL.
52%
October 31
$0 KL.
41%
December 31
$0 KL.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), confirmed by USDA APHIS, show rapid northward expansion from Mexico, with the first U.S. case in a Zavala County, Texas calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties plus a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. Ongoing sterile insect releases, expanded surveillance zones, and import restrictions aim to contain the parasite, whose larvae infest wounds in cattle, goats, and other livestock. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether NWS will establish in livestock outside Texas before resolution criteria are met, driven by model consensus on migration patterns, historical eradication success since the 1960s, and upcoming weekly APHIS case updates that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$677Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), confirmed by USDA APHIS, show rapid northward expansion from Mexico, with the first U.S. case in a Zavala County, Texas calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties plus a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. Ongoing sterile insect releases, expanded surveillance zones, and import restrictions aim to contain the parasite, whose larvae infest wounds in cattle, goats, and other livestock. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether NWS will establish in livestock outside Texas before resolution criteria are met, driven by model consensus on migration patterns, historical eradication success since the 1960s, and upcoming weekly APHIS case updates that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$677Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (NWS), confirmed by USDA APHIS, show rapid northward expansion from Mexico, with the first U.S. case in a Zavala County, Texas calf on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock infestations in La Salle, Gillespie, and other Texas counties plus a dog in Lea County, New Mexico. Ongoing sterile insect releases, expanded surveillance zones, and import restrictions aim to contain the parasite, whose larvae infest wounds in cattle, goats, and other livestock. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether NWS will establish in livestock outside Texas before resolution criteria are met, driven by model consensus on migration patterns, historical eradication success since the 1960s, and upcoming weekly APHIS case updates that could shift implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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