South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent William Timmons dominates the June 9 GOP primary, boasting nearly six times the cash on hand ($290,000) of challenger David Atchley and over 60 times that of Robert Lee as of late March filings, underscoring limited primary upset risk despite past close races like his 2024 51.6% primary win. Democratic primary candidate Courtney McClain trails financially with negative cash reserves, reinforcing historical GOP margins such as Timmons' 60% 2024 general victory; no recent polls or developments have shifted this positioning ahead of the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
$11,304 KL.
$11,304 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
$11,304 KL.
$11,304 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,043 KL.
89%
Democratic Party
$2,261 KL.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent William Timmons dominates the June 9 GOP primary, boasting nearly six times the cash on hand ($290,000) of challenger David Atchley and over 60 times that of Robert Lee as of late March filings, underscoring limited primary upset risk despite past close races like his 2024 51.6% primary win. Democratic primary candidate Courtney McClain trails financially with negative cash reserves, reinforcing historical GOP margins such as Timmons' 60% 2024 general victory; no recent polls or developments have shifted this positioning ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,304Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent William Timmons dominates the June 9 GOP primary, boasting nearly six times the cash on hand ($290,000) of challenger David Atchley and over 60 times that of Robert Lee as of late March filings, underscoring limited primary upset risk despite past close races like his 2024 51.6% primary win. Democratic primary candidate Courtney McClain trails financially with negative cash reserves, reinforcing historical GOP margins such as Timmons' 60% 2024 general victory; no recent polls or developments have shifted this positioning ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$11,304Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the November 3 general election winner. Incumbent William Timmons dominates the June 9 GOP primary, boasting nearly six times the cash on hand ($290,000) of challenger David Atchley and over 60 times that of Robert Lee as of late March filings, underscoring limited primary upset risk despite past close races like his 2024 51.6% primary win. Democratic primary candidate Courtney McClain trails financially with negative cash reserves, reinforcing historical GOP margins such as Timmons' 60% 2024 general victory; no recent polls or developments have shifted this positioning ahead of the primary.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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