Trader consensus around the 56–61°F range for Seattle’s August 25 low reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable marine-layer influence and scattered showers. Regional models show a weak trough promoting cloud cover that limits temperature drops, while clearer intervals could allow lows near 56°F; average August minima hover near 56°F with marine air from Puget Sound moderating extremes. Recent upper-level ridging has kept conditions mild, but shifting steering winds and model spread on precipitation timing create the tight clustering between 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind can shift the recorded minimum by a few degrees before official NWS verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 25?
60-61°F 34%
56-57°F 28%
58-59°F 26%
50-51°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 34%
56-57°F 28%
58-59°F 26%
50-51°F 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
49°F or below
$16 KL.
<1%
50-51°F
$10 KL.
16%
52-53°F
$30 KL.
14%
54-55°F
$31 KL.
10%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
28%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
26%
60-61°F
$2 KL.
34%
62-63°F
$53 KL.
10%
64-65°F
$20 KL.
16%
66-67°F
$13 KL.
<1%
68°F or higher
$13 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around the 56–61°F range for Seattle’s August 25 low reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable marine-layer influence and scattered showers. Regional models show a weak trough promoting cloud cover that limits temperature drops, while clearer intervals could allow lows near 56°F; average August minima hover near 56°F with marine air from Puget Sound moderating extremes. Recent upper-level ridging has kept conditions mild, but shifting steering winds and model spread on precipitation timing create the tight clustering between 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind can shift the recorded minimum by a few degrees before official NWS verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$188Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around the 56–61°F range for Seattle’s August 25 low reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable marine-layer influence and scattered showers. Regional models show a weak trough promoting cloud cover that limits temperature drops, while clearer intervals could allow lows near 56°F; average August minima hover near 56°F with marine air from Puget Sound moderating extremes. Recent upper-level ridging has kept conditions mild, but shifting steering winds and model spread on precipitation timing create the tight clustering between 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind can shift the recorded minimum by a few degrees before official NWS verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$188Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around the 56–61°F range for Seattle’s August 25 low reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable marine-layer influence and scattered showers. Regional models show a weak trough promoting cloud cover that limits temperature drops, while clearer intervals could allow lows near 56°F; average August minima hover near 56°F with marine air from Puget Sound moderating extremes. Recent upper-level ridging has kept conditions mild, but shifting steering winds and model spread on precipitation timing create the tight clustering between 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, underscoring how small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind can shift the recorded minimum by a few degrees before official NWS verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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