Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
14°C or higher 49%
10°C 29%
9°C 27%
8°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
4°C or below
13%
5°C
8%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
29%
11°C
26%
12°C
25%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
49%
14°C or higher 49%
10°C 29%
9°C 27%
8°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
4°C or below
$5 KL.
13%
5°C
$5 KL.
8%
6°C
$0 KL.
26%
7°C
$0 KL.
26%
8°C
$0 KL.
27%
9°C
$0 KL.
27%
10°C
$0 KL.
29%
11°C
$0 KL.
26%
12°C
$0 KL.
25%
13°C
$5 KL.
14%
14°C or higher
$5 KL.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$20Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from major agencies points to a minimum temperature of 8–11°C in Buenos Aires on August 26 under stable high pressure near 1024 hPa and light northeasterly winds following the late-August cold outbreak. Small variations in overnight cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact wind speeds create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across these outcomes, as reduced radiative cooling under clearer skies favors the lower end while modest warming aloft supports 10–11°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 8–10°C, and traders are balancing recent surface observations near 6–7°C against expected gradual moderation. Updated model runs and real-time observations in the next 12–24 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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