Hong Kong's August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C driven by high humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or rainy conditions, and the urban heat island effect around the Hong Kong Observatory station. Current forecasts for August 25 indicate scattered showers or thunderstorms with daytime highs near 30–32°C, which moderate nighttime temperature drops through cloud cover and moisture. The closely matched market probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C reflect model consensus on these conditions, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing, wind patterns, and any subtle steering influences from regional monsoon flow or distant tropical activity that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
27°C 40%
28°C 30%
26°C 23%
25°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
23%
27°C
40%
28°C
30%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 30%
26°C 23%
25°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$146 KL.
1%
24°C
$350 KL.
2%
25°C
$182 KL.
7%
26°C
$143 KL.
23%
27°C
$440 KL.
40%
28°C
$251 KL.
30%
29°C
$863 KL.
5%
30°C
$166 KL.
<1%
31°C
$223 KL.
1%
32°C
$219 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$135 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C driven by high humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or rainy conditions, and the urban heat island effect around the Hong Kong Observatory station. Current forecasts for August 25 indicate scattered showers or thunderstorms with daytime highs near 30–32°C, which moderate nighttime temperature drops through cloud cover and moisture. The closely matched market probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C reflect model consensus on these conditions, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing, wind patterns, and any subtle steering influences from regional monsoon flow or distant tropical activity that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,117Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C driven by high humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or rainy conditions, and the urban heat island effect around the Hong Kong Observatory station. Current forecasts for August 25 indicate scattered showers or thunderstorms with daytime highs near 30–32°C, which moderate nighttime temperature drops through cloud cover and moisture. The closely matched market probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C reflect model consensus on these conditions, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing, wind patterns, and any subtle steering influences from regional monsoon flow or distant tropical activity that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,117Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's August climatology features typical overnight lows of 26–28°C driven by high humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or rainy conditions, and the urban heat island effect around the Hong Kong Observatory station. Current forecasts for August 25 indicate scattered showers or thunderstorms with daytime highs near 30–32°C, which moderate nighttime temperature drops through cloud cover and moisture. The closely matched market probabilities for 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C reflect model consensus on these conditions, with differentiation hinging on exact rainfall timing, wind patterns, and any subtle steering influences from regional monsoon flow or distant tropical activity that could enhance or suppress cooling by 1–2°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory will refine these thresholds ahead of the daily minimum observation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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