Trader consensus centers on persistent high pressure and southerly flow under the Texas heat dome, which limits overnight radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F in Austin on August 25. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies with lows around 75°F, consistent with seasonal averages near 76°F and recent observations of 78°F under similar conditions. Minor divergences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 72–77°F bins, while stronger winds or unexpected moisture would favor the lower end. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs on August 24–25 will refine these details ahead of the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on August 25?
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
76-77°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on persistent high pressure and southerly flow under the Texas heat dome, which limits overnight radiative cooling and supports minimum temperatures near 74–77°F in Austin on August 25. Official NWS guidance and ensemble models indicate mostly clear skies with lows around 75°F, consistent with seasonal averages near 76°F and recent observations of 78°F under similar conditions. Minor divergences in dew-point forecasts and boundary-layer mixing create the tight clustering across 72–77°F bins, while stronger winds or unexpected moisture would favor the lower end. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs on August 24–25 will refine these details ahead of the overnight period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp