Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models project a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, as the subtropical high strengthens westward and reduces cloud cover after recent rain. This positioning underpins the tight market clustering at 32°C (33%) and 31°C (29%), with residual moisture and brief showers potentially capping peaks below model maxima. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, while steering patterns and humidity levels remain key variables that could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 29%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
29%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models project a daytime high near 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24, 2026, as the subtropical high strengthens westward and reduces cloud cover after recent rain. This positioning underpins the tight market clustering at 32°C (33%) and 31°C (29%), with residual moisture and brief showers potentially capping peaks below model maxima. Historical August baselines near 31°C provide context, while steering patterns and humidity levels remain key variables that could shift the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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