Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Austin is likely to reach a daily high of 103–105°F on August 24 amid persistent high pressure and above-average 500-millibar heights across the southern Plains. Late-summer climatology shows typical August maxima near 96°F, but current dew-point depression and minimal cloud cover support stronger daytime heating. The 54.5% market weighting on 104–105°F reflects consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs projecting 102–106°F with limited spread, while lower-probability bins account for possible model under- or over-forecast errors and minor timing shifts in the frontal passage. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 24?
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 31%
106-107°F 11%
100-101°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
31%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
11%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 31%
106-107°F 11%
100-101°F 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
$65 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$158 KL.
1%
98-99°F
$122 KL.
1%
100-101°F
$282 KL.
4%
102-103°F
$622 KL.
31%
104-105°F
$1,400 KL.
55%
106-107°F
$221 KL.
11%
108-109°F
$129 KL.
3%
110-111°F
$134 KL.
1%
112-113°F
$109 KL.
1%
114°F or higher
$122 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Austin is likely to reach a daily high of 103–105°F on August 24 amid persistent high pressure and above-average 500-millibar heights across the southern Plains. Late-summer climatology shows typical August maxima near 96°F, but current dew-point depression and minimal cloud cover support stronger daytime heating. The 54.5% market weighting on 104–105°F reflects consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs projecting 102–106°F with limited spread, while lower-probability bins account for possible model under- or over-forecast errors and minor timing shifts in the frontal passage. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,365Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Austin is likely to reach a daily high of 103–105°F on August 24 amid persistent high pressure and above-average 500-millibar heights across the southern Plains. Late-summer climatology shows typical August maxima near 96°F, but current dew-point depression and minimal cloud cover support stronger daytime heating. The 54.5% market weighting on 104–105°F reflects consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs projecting 102–106°F with limited spread, while lower-probability bins account for possible model under- or over-forecast errors and minor timing shifts in the frontal passage. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,365Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate Austin is likely to reach a daily high of 103–105°F on August 24 amid persistent high pressure and above-average 500-millibar heights across the southern Plains. Late-summer climatology shows typical August maxima near 96°F, but current dew-point depression and minimal cloud cover support stronger daytime heating. The 54.5% market weighting on 104–105°F reflects consensus across GFS and ECMWF runs projecting 102–106°F with limited spread, while lower-probability bins account for possible model under- or over-forecast errors and minor timing shifts in the frontal passage. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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