Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Current consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum near 21–23 °C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a period of modest cooling. Forecast spread across ensembles arises primarily from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on the official highest instantaneous reading, traders price the 20–24 °C range evenly to capture this narrow uncertainty band while assigning minimal probability to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 25?
22°C 42%
23°C 33%
24°C 14%
21°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
14%
22°C
42%
23°C
33%
24°C
14%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
2%
22°C 42%
23°C 33%
24°C 14%
21°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
18°C
$0 KL.
2%
19°C
$0 KL.
2%
20°C
$0 KL.
10%
21°C
$0 KL.
14%
22°C
$0 KL.
42%
23°C
$0 KL.
33%
24°C
$10 KL.
14%
25°C
$0 KL.
4%
26°C
$0 KL.
7%
27°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Current consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum near 21–23 °C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a period of modest cooling. Forecast spread across ensembles arises primarily from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on the official highest instantaneous reading, traders price the 20–24 °C range evenly to capture this narrow uncertainty band while assigning minimal probability to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Current consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum near 21–23 °C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a period of modest cooling. Forecast spread across ensembles arises primarily from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on the official highest instantaneous reading, traders price the 20–24 °C range evenly to capture this narrow uncertainty band while assigning minimal probability to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS outputs, indicate mostly clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Warsaw on August 25, supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 20s °C. Current consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum near 21–23 °C, reflecting typical late-summer conditions after a period of modest cooling. Forecast spread across ensembles arises primarily from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud cover timing, which can shift the daily peak by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on the official highest instantaneous reading, traders price the 20–24 °C range evenly to capture this narrow uncertainty band while assigning minimal probability to extremes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp