Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy pattern with scattered showers possible on August 23, supporting maximum temperatures clustered in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid seasonal late-summer conditions influenced by a strong Pacific High. Model consensus shows variability from cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 30-50 percent, which can suppress peak readings by limiting solar heating, while historical August averages near 31°C provide a baseline. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as short-range ensemble runs diverge modestly on exact timing of any showers or breaks in cloudiness. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key variables that could refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
29°C 15%
28°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
31°C 36%
29°C 15%
28°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$95 KL.
1%
26°C
$95 KL.
1%
27°C
$0 KL.
6%
28°C
$0 KL.
8%
29°C
$0 KL.
15%
30°C
$3 KL.
27%
31°C
$47 KL.
26%
32°C
$11 KL.
15%
33°C
$0 KL.
7%
34°C
$0 KL.
6%
35°C or higher
$7 KL.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy pattern with scattered showers possible on August 23, supporting maximum temperatures clustered in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid seasonal late-summer conditions influenced by a strong Pacific High. Model consensus shows variability from cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 30-50 percent, which can suppress peak readings by limiting solar heating, while historical August averages near 31°C provide a baseline. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as short-range ensemble runs diverge modestly on exact timing of any showers or breaks in cloudiness. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key variables that could refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$257Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy pattern with scattered showers possible on August 23, supporting maximum temperatures clustered in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid seasonal late-summer conditions influenced by a strong Pacific High. Model consensus shows variability from cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 30-50 percent, which can suppress peak readings by limiting solar heating, while historical August averages near 31°C provide a baseline. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as short-range ensemble runs diverge modestly on exact timing of any showers or breaks in cloudiness. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key variables that could refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$257Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate a cloudy pattern with scattered showers possible on August 23, supporting maximum temperatures clustered in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius amid seasonal late-summer conditions influenced by a strong Pacific High. Model consensus shows variability from cloud cover and precipitation probabilities of 30-50 percent, which can suppress peak readings by limiting solar heating, while historical August averages near 31°C provide a baseline. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow uncertainty band, as short-range ensemble runs diverge modestly on exact timing of any showers or breaks in cloudiness. Updated model guidance and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key variables that could refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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