Short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a modest degree of uncertainty in Taipei’s peak temperature for August 25, supporting the close market-implied probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C. Afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and a strengthening sea-breeze circulation within the Taipei basin are the main factors limiting daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and light synoptic flow keep the potential for brief clearing that could push readings one degree higher. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 32 °C, yet current guidance highlights slightly above-normal moisture and possible weak frontal influences that favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 25?
30°C 27%
31°C 25%
29°C 19%
32°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
19%
30°C
27%
31°C
25%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 25%
29°C 19%
32°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$141 KL.
<1%
26°C
$80 KL.
1%
27°C
$17 KL.
3%
28°C
$717 KL.
8%
29°C
$457 KL.
19%
30°C
$199 KL.
27%
31°C
$263 KL.
25%
32°C
$535 KL.
14%
33°C
$331 KL.
2%
34°C
$15 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$344 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a modest degree of uncertainty in Taipei’s peak temperature for August 25, supporting the close market-implied probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C. Afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and a strengthening sea-breeze circulation within the Taipei basin are the main factors limiting daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and light synoptic flow keep the potential for brief clearing that could push readings one degree higher. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 32 °C, yet current guidance highlights slightly above-normal moisture and possible weak frontal influences that favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,098Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a modest degree of uncertainty in Taipei’s peak temperature for August 25, supporting the close market-implied probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C. Afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and a strengthening sea-breeze circulation within the Taipei basin are the main factors limiting daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and light synoptic flow keep the potential for brief clearing that could push readings one degree higher. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 32 °C, yet current guidance highlights slightly above-normal moisture and possible weak frontal influences that favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader sentiment.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,098Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a modest degree of uncertainty in Taipei’s peak temperature for August 25, supporting the close market-implied probabilities for 30 °C and 31 °C. Afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and a strengthening sea-breeze circulation within the Taipei basin are the main factors limiting daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects and light synoptic flow keep the potential for brief clearing that could push readings one degree higher. Historical late-August climatology shows typical highs near 32 °C, yet current guidance highlights slightly above-normal moisture and possible weak frontal influences that favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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