Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 10%
78-79°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
72-73°F 10%
78-79°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$132 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$90 KL.
1%
68-69°F
$140 KL.
1%
70-71°F
$83 KL.
3%
72-73°F
$71 KL.
10%
74-75°F
$354 KL.
40%
76-77°F
$277 KL.
40%
78-79°F
$119 KL.
10%
80-81°F
$142 KL.
3%
82-83°F
$35 KL.
1%
84°F or higher
$10 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,415Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,415Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Chicago high temperature market for August 23 clusters tightly around 74–77°F, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing onshore flow off Lake Michigan moderating peak readings below the 82°F seasonal normal. Recent surface analyses indicate northwest winds and partial cloud cover limiting diurnal heating, while ensemble runs highlight uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1–2°F. With resolution tomorrow, traders weigh the latest NWS point forecasts and observed trends from upstream stations against historical analogs of cool late-summer days influenced by Great Lakes effects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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