Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
31°C 33%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 33%
30°C 29%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
29%
31°C
33%
32°C
14%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts highlight increased showers and thunderstorms for August 24, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, which is expected to limit solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31°C amid high humidity and southwest winds. Current conditions on August 22 show localized peaks of 32–34°C under partly sunny skies, but model consensus points to greater cloud cover and convective rain by Monday, differentiating 31°C from cooler 30°C outcomes through reduced insolation. Seasonal El Niño influences support above-normal August warmth overall, yet short-term precipitation dynamics create tight market-implied odds between these thresholds, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum readings at the Observatory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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