Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33°C because ensemble forecast models project a typical late-August maximum for Kuala Lumpur amid strengthening El Niño conditions that favor reduced rainfall and clearer skies. Historical August highs average near 32°C, with daily ranges of 8–12°C driven by high humidity and solar heating near the equator; however, timing of isolated thunderstorms can suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees. Recent model runs show minor spread on cloud cover and wind patterns, creating genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher low. Updated Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and global model releases over the next 48 hours will likely refine these short-term projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 26?
32°C 34%
33°C 32%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
34%
33°C
32%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 32%
34°C 12%
31°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
34%
33°C
32%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–33°C because ensemble forecast models project a typical late-August maximum for Kuala Lumpur amid strengthening El Niño conditions that favor reduced rainfall and clearer skies. Historical August highs average near 32°C, with daily ranges of 8–12°C driven by high humidity and solar heating near the equator; however, timing of isolated thunderstorms can suppress afternoon peaks by several degrees. Recent model runs show minor spread on cloud cover and wind patterns, creating genuine uncertainty between the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 34°C or higher low. Updated Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and global model releases over the next 48 hours will likely refine these short-term projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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