Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a daily high in San Francisco near 69–72°F on August 25, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that advects cooler Pacific air inland. Typical late-August conditions feature stratus clouds or haze that limit solar heating, combined with northwest winds of 15–25 mph that enhance mixing and suppress peaks above the seasonal average of around 69–70°F. Trader positioning clusters tightly on the 70–73°F bands because model guidance shows only modest variability from these factors, with resolution depending on the official maximum at downtown or airport stations. Historical analogs indicate that stronger marine influence or earlier fog burn-off could shift the outcome by 2–3°F either way.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 25?
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 38%
74-75°F 11%
68-69°F 9%
$11,946 KL.
$11,946 KL.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 43%
70-71°F 38%
74-75°F 11%
68-69°F 9%
$11,946 KL.
$11,946 KL.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
43%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a daily high in San Francisco near 69–72°F on August 25, driven by persistent onshore westerly flow and a moderating marine layer that advects cooler Pacific air inland. Typical late-August conditions feature stratus clouds or haze that limit solar heating, combined with northwest winds of 15–25 mph that enhance mixing and suppress peaks above the seasonal average of around 69–70°F. Trader positioning clusters tightly on the 70–73°F bands because model guidance shows only modest variability from these factors, with resolution depending on the official maximum at downtown or airport stations. Historical analogs indicate that stronger marine influence or earlier fog burn-off could shift the outcome by 2–3°F either way.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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