Persistent warm advection from a strong upper-level ridge has driven recent overnight lows in Los Angeles into the low-to-mid 70s °F, limiting typical marine-layer cooling and supporting the near-even market split between sub-62 °F and 80 °F-or-higher outcomes. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a likely minimum near 66–72 °F on August 26, consistent with climatological norms around 65 °F but elevated by anomalous low-level moisture and onshore flow that reduces radiative cooling. Key variables include boundary-layer wind speeds, stratus coverage, and any late timing shift in the marine layer; clearer, calmer conditions would favor cooler readings while continued warm advection or higher humidity would sustain elevated minima. Updated NWS and model runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
61°F or below 98%
80°F or higher 94%
64-65°F 50%
62-63°F 47%
61°F or below
98%
62-63°F
47%
64-65°F
50%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
94%
61°F or below 98%
80°F or higher 94%
64-65°F 50%
62-63°F 47%
61°F or below
98%
62-63°F
47%
64-65°F
50%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm advection from a strong upper-level ridge has driven recent overnight lows in Los Angeles into the low-to-mid 70s °F, limiting typical marine-layer cooling and supporting the near-even market split between sub-62 °F and 80 °F-or-higher outcomes. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a likely minimum near 66–72 °F on August 26, consistent with climatological norms around 65 °F but elevated by anomalous low-level moisture and onshore flow that reduces radiative cooling. Key variables include boundary-layer wind speeds, stratus coverage, and any late timing shift in the marine layer; clearer, calmer conditions would favor cooler readings while continued warm advection or higher humidity would sustain elevated minima. Updated NWS and model runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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