Persistent high pressure over the region has sustained hot, humid conditions with minimal cloud cover and light southwest winds, promoting strong daytime solar heating and pushing recent daily maxima into the upper 90s to low 100s. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak near 99–102 °F on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, with heat indices exceeding 106 °F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 98–101 °F reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and extent of any afternoon boundary-layer mixing or subtle moisture advection that could shave a degree or two off the maximum, versus full insolation allowing a 100–101 °F reading. Historical climatology shows August 26 averages near 92 °F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 26?
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 6%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 6%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the region has sustained hot, humid conditions with minimal cloud cover and light southwest winds, promoting strong daytime solar heating and pushing recent daily maxima into the upper 90s to low 100s. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a peak near 99–102 °F on August 26 under mostly sunny skies, with heat indices exceeding 106 °F. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 98–101 °F reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and extent of any afternoon boundary-layer mixing or subtle moisture advection that could shave a degree or two off the maximum, versus full insolation allowing a 100–101 °F reading. Historical climatology shows August 26 averages near 92 °F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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