Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a stable marine layer around 1,000–1,500 feet that limits daytime heating through persistent onshore flow and coastal stratus. This keeps temperatures near or slightly below the August average of 69–70°F, with recent subtropical moisture potentially increasing cloud cover and further moderating peaks. The near-even split between 68–69°F and 70–71°F market shares reflects minor model divergences on afternoon clearing and wind strength, while lower-probability outcomes above 72°F would require unexpected marine-layer erosion. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
70-71°F 31%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 14%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
4%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 31%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 17%
66-67°F 14%
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
4%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate a high near 68°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a stable marine layer around 1,000–1,500 feet that limits daytime heating through persistent onshore flow and coastal stratus. This keeps temperatures near or slightly below the August average of 69–70°F, with recent subtropical moisture potentially increasing cloud cover and further moderating peaks. The near-even split between 68–69°F and 70–71°F market shares reflects minor model divergences on afternoon clearing and wind strength, while lower-probability outcomes above 72°F would require unexpected marine-layer erosion. Updated NWS briefings and morning observations tomorrow will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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