Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds are driving Houston toward a high near 100°F on August 25, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent heat-wave conditions that produced 99–101°F readings. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August support this range, though slight variations in timing of any thin cloud cover or station-specific measurements (e.g., Hobby Airport) create uncertainty around the exact peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of these near-term atmospheric factors over higher or lower extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 9%
94-95°F 3%
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
96-97°F 37%
100-101°F 9%
94-95°F 3%
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
9%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and mostly sunny skies with light southwest winds are driving Houston toward a high near 100°F on August 25, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and recent heat-wave conditions that produced 99–101°F readings. Model consensus and climatological baselines for late August support this range, though slight variations in timing of any thin cloud cover or station-specific measurements (e.g., Hobby Airport) create uncertainty around the exact peak. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins, reflecting trader assessment of these near-term atmospheric factors over higher or lower extremes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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