Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by moderating southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and Lake Michigan’s thermal influence that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 66–69°F outcomes, reflecting model consensus on minimal cold-air advection ahead of a warm frontal passage. Historical normals near 64°F provide context, yet current guidance shows a modest warm bias from elevated dew points and weak winds, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 26?
58-59°F 42%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
42%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
23%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
20%
58-59°F 42%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 32%
64-65°F 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
55°F or below
$5 KL.
1%
56-57°F
$5 KL.
4%
58-59°F
$5 KL.
42%
60-61°F
$80 KL.
7%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
23%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
28%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
36%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
32%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
23%
72-73°F
$5 KL.
2%
74°F or higher
$5 KL.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by moderating southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and Lake Michigan’s thermal influence that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 66–69°F outcomes, reflecting model consensus on minimal cold-air advection ahead of a warm frontal passage. Historical normals near 64°F provide context, yet current guidance shows a modest warm bias from elevated dew points and weak winds, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$105Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by moderating southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and Lake Michigan’s thermal influence that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 66–69°F outcomes, reflecting model consensus on minimal cold-air advection ahead of a warm frontal passage. Historical normals near 64°F provide context, yet current guidance shows a modest warm bias from elevated dew points and weak winds, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$105Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F for Chicago on August 26, driven by moderating southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and Lake Michigan’s thermal influence that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 66–69°F outcomes, reflecting model consensus on minimal cold-air advection ahead of a warm frontal passage. Historical normals near 64°F provide context, yet current guidance shows a modest warm bias from elevated dew points and weak winds, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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