Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Chicago’s August 25 high near 78–81°F, aligning with the market’s dominant 80–81°F (51%) and 78–79°F (32%) bands. Cooler-than-normal air behind a weak frontal passage and lingering cloud cover have lowered afternoon temperatures several degrees below the 81.5°F climatological normal, while light southwest winds limit lake-breeze moderation. Ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier, supporting the smaller 82–83°F probability. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture will be the next key data points traders monitor before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 25?
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
51%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
71°F or below
$627 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$103 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$105 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$250 KL.
6%
78-79°F
$182 KL.
32%
80-81°F
$653 KL.
51%
82-83°F
$143 KL.
13%
84-85°F
$279 KL.
4%
86-87°F
$150 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$183 KL.
<1%
90°F or higher
$208 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Chicago’s August 25 high near 78–81°F, aligning with the market’s dominant 80–81°F (51%) and 78–79°F (32%) bands. Cooler-than-normal air behind a weak frontal passage and lingering cloud cover have lowered afternoon temperatures several degrees below the 81.5°F climatological normal, while light southwest winds limit lake-breeze moderation. Ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier, supporting the smaller 82–83°F probability. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture will be the next key data points traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,884Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Chicago’s August 25 high near 78–81°F, aligning with the market’s dominant 80–81°F (51%) and 78–79°F (32%) bands. Cooler-than-normal air behind a weak frontal passage and lingering cloud cover have lowered afternoon temperatures several degrees below the 81.5°F climatological normal, while light southwest winds limit lake-breeze moderation. Ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier, supporting the smaller 82–83°F probability. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture will be the next key data points traders monitor before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,884Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Chicago’s August 25 high near 78–81°F, aligning with the market’s dominant 80–81°F (51%) and 78–79°F (32%) bands. Cooler-than-normal air behind a weak frontal passage and lingering cloud cover have lowered afternoon temperatures several degrees below the 81.5°F climatological normal, while light southwest winds limit lake-breeze moderation. Ensemble guidance shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier, supporting the smaller 82–83°F probability. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning and any revisions to boundary-layer moisture will be the next key data points traders monitor before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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