Recent model consensus from sources including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs points to variable cloudiness with light northerly winds on August 27, supporting daytime maxima near 19–20°C and limiting stronger warming. This follows cooler, showery conditions on the 26th that reduced heat buildup, with no notable warm-air advection or clear-sky enhancement expected. Historical late-August averages near 20.6°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest insolation under partial cloud keep outcomes clustered in the upper teens. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with 20°C or higher requiring clearer skies or delayed cooling than most guidance indicates. Updated NWP runs and surface observations ahead of peak heating hours remain key for refinement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 27?
19°C 36%
18°C 34%
17°C 18%
20°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
18%
18°C
34%
19°C
36%
20°C
11%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
3%
19°C 36%
18°C 34%
17°C 18%
20°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
$145 KL.
1%
15°C
$5 KL.
1%
16°C
$965 KL.
2%
17°C
$412 KL.
18%
18°C
$36 KL.
34%
19°C
$756 KL.
36%
20°C
$298 KL.
11%
21°C
$8 KL.
3%
22°C
$75 KL.
2%
23°C
$167 KL.
1%
24°C or higher
$5 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs points to variable cloudiness with light northerly winds on August 27, supporting daytime maxima near 19–20°C and limiting stronger warming. This follows cooler, showery conditions on the 26th that reduced heat buildup, with no notable warm-air advection or clear-sky enhancement expected. Historical late-August averages near 20.6°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest insolation under partial cloud keep outcomes clustered in the upper teens. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with 20°C or higher requiring clearer skies or delayed cooling than most guidance indicates. Updated NWP runs and surface observations ahead of peak heating hours remain key for refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,871Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs points to variable cloudiness with light northerly winds on August 27, supporting daytime maxima near 19–20°C and limiting stronger warming. This follows cooler, showery conditions on the 26th that reduced heat buildup, with no notable warm-air advection or clear-sky enhancement expected. Historical late-August averages near 20.6°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest insolation under partial cloud keep outcomes clustered in the upper teens. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with 20°C or higher requiring clearer skies or delayed cooling than most guidance indicates. Updated NWP runs and surface observations ahead of peak heating hours remain key for refinement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,871Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS runs points to variable cloudiness with light northerly winds on August 27, supporting daytime maxima near 19–20°C and limiting stronger warming. This follows cooler, showery conditions on the 26th that reduced heat buildup, with no notable warm-air advection or clear-sky enhancement expected. Historical late-August averages near 20.6°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and modest insolation under partial cloud keep outcomes clustered in the upper teens. Minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread between 18°C and 19°C implied probabilities, with 20°C or higher requiring clearer skies or delayed cooling than most guidance indicates. Updated NWP runs and surface observations ahead of peak heating hours remain key for refinement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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