**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
32°C 52%
31°C 21%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
52%
33°C
19%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 21%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
52%
33°C
19%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from meteorological models points to a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Shanghai on August 26, aligning with the market’s leading 51.5% probability on 32°C and secondary support for 31°C and 33°C.** Subtropical summer conditions, including high humidity and light easterly flow, typically produce peak readings in the early afternoon under mostly sunny skies with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent model runs show little spread, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and no incoming tropical systems or frontal passages to alter the trajectory. Historical August baselines in the region average 31–33°C highs, so current data represent near-normal values rather than extremes. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, with small timing shifts in peak insolation or local urban heat effects capable of nudging the exact value between the clustered 31–33°C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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