Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 26 will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This reflects a stable subtropical air mass with high humidity and minimal nocturnal cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 25–26°C absent strong frontal passages or heavy rainfall. No significant model divergence or incoming disturbances appear likely to drive temperatures below 25°C or above 28°C by resolution time, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine any minor shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
27°C 57%
26°C 34%
25°C 6%
28°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
34%
27°C
57%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 34%
25°C 6%
28°C 4%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
34%
27°C
57%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 26 will likely settle near 26–27°C under mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This reflects a stable subtropical air mass with high humidity and minimal nocturnal cooling, consistent with late-August climatology where average lows hover around 25–26°C absent strong frontal passages or heavy rainfall. No significant model divergence or incoming disturbances appear likely to drive temperatures below 25°C or above 28°C by resolution time, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these two outcomes. Updated short-range guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine any minor shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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