Recent official forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a likely daily maximum of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flow and increasing cloud, aligning with the market’s strong 60.5% implied probability on 16°C and 29.5% on 15°C. These values sit near the long-term August average high of roughly 12–14°C yet reflect mild conditions driven by transient warmer air masses ahead of any southerly change. Model consensus remains tight two days out, with limited spread supporting the narrow distribution around these outcomes; any late intensification of winds or clearer skies could nudge readings higher, while stronger onshore flow might cap them at 15°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily while acknowledging typical late-winter variability in the region.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 60%
15°C 28%
17°C 12%
14°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
28%
16°C
60%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 60%
15°C 28%
17°C 12%
14°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
$121 KL.
<1%
11°C
$171 KL.
<1%
12°C
$121 KL.
1%
13°C
$192 KL.
1%
14°C
$307 KL.
4%
15°C
$318 KL.
28%
16°C
$315 KL.
60%
17°C
$577 KL.
12%
18°C
$110 KL.
2%
19°C
$11 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$192 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a likely daily maximum of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flow and increasing cloud, aligning with the market’s strong 60.5% implied probability on 16°C and 29.5% on 15°C. These values sit near the long-term August average high of roughly 12–14°C yet reflect mild conditions driven by transient warmer air masses ahead of any southerly change. Model consensus remains tight two days out, with limited spread supporting the narrow distribution around these outcomes; any late intensification of winds or clearer skies could nudge readings higher, while stronger onshore flow might cap them at 15°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily while acknowledging typical late-winter variability in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,423Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a likely daily maximum of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flow and increasing cloud, aligning with the market’s strong 60.5% implied probability on 16°C and 29.5% on 15°C. These values sit near the long-term August average high of roughly 12–14°C yet reflect mild conditions driven by transient warmer air masses ahead of any southerly change. Model consensus remains tight two days out, with limited spread supporting the narrow distribution around these outcomes; any late intensification of winds or clearer skies could nudge readings higher, while stronger onshore flow might cap them at 15°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily while acknowledging typical late-winter variability in the region.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,423Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a likely daily maximum of 15–16°C in Wellington on August 26 under northwesterly flow and increasing cloud, aligning with the market’s strong 60.5% implied probability on 16°C and 29.5% on 15°C. These values sit near the long-term August average high of roughly 12–14°C yet reflect mild conditions driven by transient warmer air masses ahead of any southerly change. Model consensus remains tight two days out, with limited spread supporting the narrow distribution around these outcomes; any late intensification of winds or clearer skies could nudge readings higher, while stronger onshore flow might cap them at 15°C. Traders appear to be weighting the latest guidance heavily while acknowledging typical late-winter variability in the region.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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