Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's August 26 high will likely fall in the 33–36 °C range, shaped by late-summer southerly flow, urban heat-island effects, and variable cloud cover or light showers that could cap afternoon peaks. Model runs diverge modestly on timing of any scattered precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise maximum and explaining why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between 34 °C and 35 °C. Historical August normals near 31 °C provide context, while recent days' observed maxima near 33–35 °C anchor expectations ahead of the next official forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
34°C 35%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
15%
34°C
35%
35°C
30%
36°C
13%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$1,354 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,454 KL.
<1%
30°C
$111 KL.
<1%
31°C
$178 KL.
2%
32°C
$274 KL.
4%
33°C
$306 KL.
15%
34°C
$373 KL.
35%
35°C
$531 KL.
30%
36°C
$933 KL.
13%
37°C
$142 KL.
4%
38°C or higher
$3,755 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's August 26 high will likely fall in the 33–36 °C range, shaped by late-summer southerly flow, urban heat-island effects, and variable cloud cover or light showers that could cap afternoon peaks. Model runs diverge modestly on timing of any scattered precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise maximum and explaining why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between 34 °C and 35 °C. Historical August normals near 31 °C provide context, while recent days' observed maxima near 33–35 °C anchor expectations ahead of the next official forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,410Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's August 26 high will likely fall in the 33–36 °C range, shaped by late-summer southerly flow, urban heat-island effects, and variable cloud cover or light showers that could cap afternoon peaks. Model runs diverge modestly on timing of any scattered precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise maximum and explaining why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between 34 °C and 35 °C. Historical August normals near 31 °C provide context, while recent days' observed maxima near 33–35 °C anchor expectations ahead of the next official forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,410Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international models indicate Tokyo's August 26 high will likely fall in the 33–36 °C range, shaped by late-summer southerly flow, urban heat-island effects, and variable cloud cover or light showers that could cap afternoon peaks. Model runs diverge modestly on timing of any scattered precipitation and boundary-layer mixing, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise maximum and explaining why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between 34 °C and 35 °C. Historical August normals near 31 °C provide context, while recent days' observed maxima near 33–35 °C anchor expectations ahead of the next official forecast updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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