Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show partly cloudy conditions on August 25 with daytime highs near 35°C and minimum temperatures around 25°C, driven by a persistent strong Pacific High that has maintained above-normal summer heat across Honshu. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C daily low as the most likely outcome amid urban heat island effects and high humidity that typically keep overnight readings elevated. Model runs remain consistent with seasonal patterns where August minima rarely fall below 24°C in central Tokyo, though any unexpected cloud cover increase or frontal passage could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Updated JMA briefings and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
27°C 54%
26°C 25%
28°C 19%
25°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
25%
27°C
54%
28°C
19%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
26°C 25%
28°C 19%
25°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$555 KL.
<1%
22°C
$40 KL.
<1%
23°C
$30 KL.
<1%
24°C
$30 KL.
3%
25°C
$94 KL.
6%
26°C
$209 KL.
25%
27°C
$298 KL.
54%
28°C
$228 KL.
19%
29°C
$5 KL.
2%
30°C
$30 KL.
1%
31°C or higher
$500 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show partly cloudy conditions on August 25 with daytime highs near 35°C and minimum temperatures around 25°C, driven by a persistent strong Pacific High that has maintained above-normal summer heat across Honshu. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C daily low as the most likely outcome amid urban heat island effects and high humidity that typically keep overnight readings elevated. Model runs remain consistent with seasonal patterns where August minima rarely fall below 24°C in central Tokyo, though any unexpected cloud cover increase or frontal passage could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Updated JMA briefings and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,019Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show partly cloudy conditions on August 25 with daytime highs near 35°C and minimum temperatures around 25°C, driven by a persistent strong Pacific High that has maintained above-normal summer heat across Honshu. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C daily low as the most likely outcome amid urban heat island effects and high humidity that typically keep overnight readings elevated. Model runs remain consistent with seasonal patterns where August minima rarely fall below 24°C in central Tokyo, though any unexpected cloud cover increase or frontal passage could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Updated JMA briefings and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,019Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show partly cloudy conditions on August 25 with daytime highs near 35°C and minimum temperatures around 25°C, driven by a persistent strong Pacific High that has maintained above-normal summer heat across Honshu. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting trader consensus around a 27°C daily low as the most likely outcome amid urban heat island effects and high humidity that typically keep overnight readings elevated. Model runs remain consistent with seasonal patterns where August minima rarely fall below 24°C in central Tokyo, though any unexpected cloud cover increase or frontal passage could allow slightly cooler readings near 26°C. Updated JMA briefings and ensemble guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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