Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 26 of 26–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 27°C or 28°C. Persistent Pacific high pressure, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect from concrete and reduced nighttime radiative cooling under high humidity, sustains elevated overnight temperatures. Southerly winds and limited cloud cover variability further limit cooling, while any scattered showers could slightly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss. Historical August lows average near 23°C, but this season’s above-normal pattern and double high-pressure influence keep readings elevated, with model differences in timing or local conditions creating the narrow spread between leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
28°C 46%
27°C 41%
29°C 16%
24°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
15%
25°C
9%
26°C
11%
27°C
41%
28°C
46%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 46%
27°C 41%
29°C 16%
24°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 KL.
5%
23°C
$5 KL.
10%
24°C
$5 KL.
15%
25°C
$20 KL.
9%
26°C
$0 KL.
11%
27°C
$0 KL.
41%
28°C
$44 KL.
46%
29°C
$5 KL.
16%
30°C
$5 KL.
15%
31°C
$5 KL.
7%
32°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 26 of 26–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 27°C or 28°C. Persistent Pacific high pressure, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect from concrete and reduced nighttime radiative cooling under high humidity, sustains elevated overnight temperatures. Southerly winds and limited cloud cover variability further limit cooling, while any scattered showers could slightly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss. Historical August lows average near 23°C, but this season’s above-normal pattern and double high-pressure influence keep readings elevated, with model differences in timing or local conditions creating the narrow spread between leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$89Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 26 of 26–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 27°C or 28°C. Persistent Pacific high pressure, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect from concrete and reduced nighttime radiative cooling under high humidity, sustains elevated overnight temperatures. Southerly winds and limited cloud cover variability further limit cooling, while any scattered showers could slightly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss. Historical August lows average near 23°C, but this season’s above-normal pattern and double high-pressure influence keep readings elevated, with model differences in timing or local conditions creating the narrow spread between leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$89Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 26 of 26–28°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 27°C or 28°C. Persistent Pacific high pressure, combined with Tokyo’s urban heat island effect from concrete and reduced nighttime radiative cooling under high humidity, sustains elevated overnight temperatures. Southerly winds and limited cloud cover variability further limit cooling, while any scattered showers could slightly raise the minimum by reducing heat loss. Historical August lows average near 23°C, but this season’s above-normal pattern and double high-pressure influence keep readings elevated, with model differences in timing or local conditions creating the narrow spread between leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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