Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and GFS indicate Munich will reach a daytime peak of 26–27°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Afternoon solar heating under clearing conditions and a dew point near 15°C favor modest warming above seasonal norms without triggering stronger convection. Model runs show tight agreement on the maximum, with limited upside potential to 28°C only if boundary-layer mixing exceeds expectations. Resolution hinges on the official highest instantaneous reading at the Munich station, where small deviations in timing or local effects could shift the exact value within the narrow 26–27°C band currently priced by traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
27°C 50%
26°C 35%
28°C 11%
25°C 7%
$27,040 KL.
$27,040 KL.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
35%
27°C
50%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 50%
26°C 35%
28°C 11%
25°C 7%
$27,040 KL.
$27,040 KL.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
35%
27°C
50%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and GFS indicate Munich will reach a daytime peak of 26–27°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Afternoon solar heating under clearing conditions and a dew point near 15°C favor modest warming above seasonal norms without triggering stronger convection. Model runs show tight agreement on the maximum, with limited upside potential to 28°C only if boundary-layer mixing exceeds expectations. Resolution hinges on the official highest instantaneous reading at the Munich station, where small deviations in timing or local effects could shift the exact value within the narrow 26–27°C band currently priced by traders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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