Traders see elevated uncertainty in Munich's minimum temperature for August 26 because numerical weather models show modest disagreement on the strength of an approaching Atlantic trough and associated cold-air advection. Late-summer radiative cooling under clear skies could drop readings several degrees below the seasonal 12–14 °C climatological low, while increased cloud cover or southerly flow would keep the minimum near or above that range. Ensemble spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service highlight sensitivity to exact timing of frontal passage and boundary-layer moisture, keeping implied probabilities clustered between 8 °C or below and 14 °C. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours are expected to tighten the range before resolution.