A persistent subtropical ridge and strong high-pressure system have sustained an intense heat wave across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on August 25 that favor strong daytime heating. Recent model consensus and observed highs of 106–108°F in prior days support market-implied odds centering on 104–105°F as the most likely outcome, reflecting slight anticipated moderation from peak heat while still well above August climatological normals near 95°F. Forecasters note the Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect through the period, with low humidity enhancing surface temperatures but also leaving room for minor shifts if any unexpected moisture or wind changes develop.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Dallas on August 25?
104-105°F 47%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 14%
100-101°F 4.3%
99°F or below
2%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
47%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 47%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 14%
100-101°F 4.3%
99°F or below
2%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
47%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...A persistent subtropical ridge and strong high-pressure system have sustained an intense heat wave across North Texas, with official National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on August 25 that favor strong daytime heating. Recent model consensus and observed highs of 106–108°F in prior days support market-implied odds centering on 104–105°F as the most likely outcome, reflecting slight anticipated moderation from peak heat while still well above August climatological normals near 95°F. Forecasters note the Extreme Heat Warning remains in effect through the period, with low humidity enhancing surface temperatures but also leaving room for minor shifts if any unexpected moisture or wind changes develop.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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