Recent weather model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts points to a high of 22–24°C in Madrid on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds, and a cooler maritime air mass that limits daytime heating. Overcast conditions with light drizzle potential and dew points around 11–14°C further cap temperatures well below the late-August climatological average near 31°C. These factors explain the market’s emphasis on 23°C (35.5%) and adjacent outcomes, with low odds for 26°C+ reflecting the absence of clear-sky radiative warming or warmer advection in current runs. Updated model guidance on wind shifts or cloud breaks could still adjust the final maximum within the narrow 21–25°C window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
23°C 36%
24°C 24%
22°C 17%
25°C 16%
MỚI
$23,539 KL.
MỚI
$23,539 KL.
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
17%
23°C
36%
24°C
24%
25°C
16%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 36%
24°C 24%
22°C 17%
25°C 16%
MỚI
$23,539 KL.
MỚI
$23,539 KL.
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$852 KL.
4%
22°C
$1,810 KL.
17%
23°C
$2,798 KL.
36%
24°C
$2,327 KL.
24%
25°C
$2,744 KL.
16%
26°C
$5,794 KL.
3%
27°C
$1,917 KL.
2%
28°C
$455 KL.
1%
29°C
$794 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,291 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$3,036 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts points to a high of 22–24°C in Madrid on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds, and a cooler maritime air mass that limits daytime heating. Overcast conditions with light drizzle potential and dew points around 11–14°C further cap temperatures well below the late-August climatological average near 31°C. These factors explain the market’s emphasis on 23°C (35.5%) and adjacent outcomes, with low odds for 26°C+ reflecting the absence of clear-sky radiative warming or warmer advection in current runs. Updated model guidance on wind shifts or cloud breaks could still adjust the final maximum within the narrow 21–25°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,539Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts points to a high of 22–24°C in Madrid on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds, and a cooler maritime air mass that limits daytime heating. Overcast conditions with light drizzle potential and dew points around 11–14°C further cap temperatures well below the late-August climatological average near 31°C. These factors explain the market’s emphasis on 23°C (35.5%) and adjacent outcomes, with low odds for 26°C+ reflecting the absence of clear-sky radiative warming or warmer advection in current runs. Updated model guidance on wind shifts or cloud breaks could still adjust the final maximum within the narrow 21–25°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$23,539Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts points to a high of 22–24°C in Madrid on August 27, driven by persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds, and a cooler maritime air mass that limits daytime heating. Overcast conditions with light drizzle potential and dew points around 11–14°C further cap temperatures well below the late-August climatological average near 31°C. These factors explain the market’s emphasis on 23°C (35.5%) and adjacent outcomes, with low odds for 26°C+ reflecting the absence of clear-sky radiative warming or warmer advection in current runs. Updated model guidance on wind shifts or cloud breaks could still adjust the final maximum within the narrow 21–25°C window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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