Current forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's August 27 high will likely peak near 29–31°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate to strong southwesterly winds limiting full solar heating while allowing brief afternoon warming. Official outlooks show partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers that cap extremes but align with recent observed maxima around 31°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C at 40% reflect this model consensus and historical August norms near 31°C, with secondary probability on 30°C accounting for potential earlier or heavier rainfall suppressing the peak; traders weigh upcoming model updates and any shifts in monsoon flow intensity for resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 27?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 27?
31°C 40%
30°C 24%
32°C 17%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
24%
31°C
40%
32°C
17%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 24%
32°C 17%
29°C 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$1,630 KL.
1%
26°C
$90 KL.
<1%
27°C
$15 KL.
1%
28°C
$23 KL.
4%
29°C
$84 KL.
11%
30°C
$624 KL.
24%
31°C
$542 KL.
40%
32°C
$327 KL.
17%
33°C
$78 KL.
4%
34°C
$95 KL.
1%
35°C or higher
$176 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's August 27 high will likely peak near 29–31°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate to strong southwesterly winds limiting full solar heating while allowing brief afternoon warming. Official outlooks show partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers that cap extremes but align with recent observed maxima around 31°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C at 40% reflect this model consensus and historical August norms near 31°C, with secondary probability on 30°C accounting for potential earlier or heavier rainfall suppressing the peak; traders weigh upcoming model updates and any shifts in monsoon flow intensity for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,684Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's August 27 high will likely peak near 29–31°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate to strong southwesterly winds limiting full solar heating while allowing brief afternoon warming. Official outlooks show partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers that cap extremes but align with recent observed maxima around 31°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C at 40% reflect this model consensus and historical August norms near 31°C, with secondary probability on 30°C accounting for potential earlier or heavier rainfall suppressing the peak; traders weigh upcoming model updates and any shifts in monsoon flow intensity for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,684Ngày kết thúc
Aug 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 25, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from PAGASA and international models indicate Manila's August 27 high will likely peak near 29–31°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate to strong southwesterly winds limiting full solar heating while allowing brief afternoon warming. Official outlooks show partly to mostly cloudy skies and isolated showers that cap extremes but align with recent observed maxima around 31°C. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C at 40% reflect this model consensus and historical August norms near 31°C, with secondary probability on 30°C accounting for potential earlier or heavier rainfall suppressing the peak; traders weigh upcoming model updates and any shifts in monsoon flow intensity for resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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