Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate overnight lows in the lower 70s °F for Los Angeles on August 25, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that typically moderates minimum temperatures near the coast. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-63 °F and 82 °F+ outcomes because of uncertainty over marine layer timing, potential fog development, and any late-day offshore wind shifts that could either enhance cooling or trap heat. Historical August normals near 65 °F provide context, yet recent observations showing lows of 67–70 °F highlight how small changes in humidity, cloud cover, and wind patterns can shift the daily minimum by several degrees, keeping mid-range probabilities fragmented while extreme scenarios attract balanced capital.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
63°F or below 88%
72-73°F 51%
68-69°F 28%
66-67°F 25%
63°F or below
88%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82°F or higher
-
63°F or below 88%
72-73°F 51%
68-69°F 28%
66-67°F 25%
63°F or below
88%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
29%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
3%
82°F or higher
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate overnight lows in the lower 70s °F for Los Angeles on August 25, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strengthening marine layer that typically moderates minimum temperatures near the coast. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-63 °F and 82 °F+ outcomes because of uncertainty over marine layer timing, potential fog development, and any late-day offshore wind shifts that could either enhance cooling or trap heat. Historical August normals near 65 °F provide context, yet recent observations showing lows of 67–70 °F highlight how small changes in humidity, cloud cover, and wind patterns can shift the daily minimum by several degrees, keeping mid-range probabilities fragmented while extreme scenarios attract balanced capital.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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