**Forecast models and official guidance point to an overnight low near 8°C in Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under stable high pressure.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple global models (including hourly guidance from Yr and others) converge on minimums of 8–9°C, with temperatures bottoming out in the early morning hours before rising through the day to a high around 12–14°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average minima hover near 7°C but recent days have trended milder. Market-implied odds remain closely clustered across 4–8°C outcomes due to residual uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum at the official station and potential micro-variations in urban heat or wind. Traders appear to weigh the chance of slightly stronger cooling against the current stable pattern, with new model runs or updated observations the next key catalyst before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25?
4°C 49%
3°C 44%
5°C 27%
7°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
2°C or below
1%
3°C
44%
4°C
49%
5°C
27%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C or higher
<1%
4°C 49%
3°C 44%
5°C 27%
7°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
2°C or below
$135 KL.
1%
3°C
$88 KL.
44%
4°C
$88 KL.
49%
5°C
$0 KL.
27%
6°C
$0 KL.
26%
7°C
$0 KL.
27%
8°C
$0 KL.
26%
9°C
$100 KL.
26%
10°C
$330 KL.
<1%
11°C
$455 KL.
<1%
12°C or higher
$350 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to an overnight low near 8°C in Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under stable high pressure.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple global models (including hourly guidance from Yr and others) converge on minimums of 8–9°C, with temperatures bottoming out in the early morning hours before rising through the day to a high around 12–14°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average minima hover near 7°C but recent days have trended milder. Market-implied odds remain closely clustered across 4–8°C outcomes due to residual uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum at the official station and potential micro-variations in urban heat or wind. Traders appear to weigh the chance of slightly stronger cooling against the current stable pattern, with new model runs or updated observations the next key catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,546Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance point to an overnight low near 8°C in Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under stable high pressure.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple global models (including hourly guidance from Yr and others) converge on minimums of 8–9°C, with temperatures bottoming out in the early morning hours before rising through the day to a high around 12–14°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average minima hover near 7°C but recent days have trended milder. Market-implied odds remain closely clustered across 4–8°C outcomes due to residual uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum at the official station and potential micro-variations in urban heat or wind. Traders appear to weigh the chance of slightly stronger cooling against the current stable pattern, with new model runs or updated observations the next key catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,546Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance point to an overnight low near 8°C in Buenos Aires on August 25, driven by persistent northeasterly flow, high cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under stable high pressure.** The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and multiple global models (including hourly guidance from Yr and others) converge on minimums of 8–9°C, with temperatures bottoming out in the early morning hours before rising through the day to a high around 12–14°C. This aligns with typical late-August climatology, where average minima hover near 7°C but recent days have trended milder. Market-implied odds remain closely clustered across 4–8°C outcomes due to residual uncertainty in the precise hourly minimum at the official station and potential micro-variations in urban heat or wind. Traders appear to weigh the chance of slightly stronger cooling against the current stable pattern, with new model runs or updated observations the next key catalyst before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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