Current forecast guidance from European meteorological models indicates limited overnight cooling for Milan, establishing 24°C or higher as the leading market outcome at 41.6% implied probability. Late-August climatology in the Po Valley typically produces minimum temperatures of 18–22°C under stable high pressure or light southerly flow, with recent model runs showing persistent warmth and minimal radiative cooling. Secondary probabilities cluster around 17–20°C near 26–28%, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind patterns and cloud cover. Ensemble updates from ECMWF and the Italian Meteorological Service over the next 24 hours will provide key data on whether thresholds near 19–20°C gain or lose ground before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
14°C or below 50%
22°C 48%
15°C 41%
24°C or higher 40.5%
14°C or below
50%
15°C
41%
16°C
22%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
27%
21°C
22%
22°C
48%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
41%
14°C or below 50%
22°C 48%
15°C 41%
24°C or higher 40.5%
14°C or below
50%
15°C
41%
16°C
22%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
27%
21°C
22%
22°C
48%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from European meteorological models indicates limited overnight cooling for Milan, establishing 24°C or higher as the leading market outcome at 41.6% implied probability. Late-August climatology in the Po Valley typically produces minimum temperatures of 18–22°C under stable high pressure or light southerly flow, with recent model runs showing persistent warmth and minimal radiative cooling. Secondary probabilities cluster around 17–20°C near 26–28%, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind patterns and cloud cover. Ensemble updates from ECMWF and the Italian Meteorological Service over the next 24 hours will provide key data on whether thresholds near 19–20°C gain or lose ground before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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