The southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver of near-term conditions over Metro Manila, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderate diurnal temperature ranges. PAGASA forecasts for August 24 show a low near 24°C paired with an 80% rain probability and highs around 31°C, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–26°C overnight minima. Persistent cloud cover and moisture advection suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow readings at or below 21°C, while also limiting daytime heating that could push the minimum anomalously high. Distant tropical systems add steering flow uncertainty but are not expected to alter the local regime before resolution. Traders appear split between entrenched monsoon moderation favoring mid-20s outcomes and residual variance around model spread or localized downpours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on August 24?
31°C or higher 92%
21°C or below 91%
22°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below
91%
22°C
49%
23°C
24%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
92%
31°C or higher 92%
21°C or below 91%
22°C 49%
29°C 49%
21°C or below
91%
22°C
49%
23°C
24%
24°C
25%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver of near-term conditions over Metro Manila, sustaining cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity that moderate diurnal temperature ranges. PAGASA forecasts for August 24 show a low near 24°C paired with an 80% rain probability and highs around 31°C, consistent with climatological August norms of 24–26°C overnight minima. Persistent cloud cover and moisture advection suppress radiative cooling that would otherwise allow readings at or below 21°C, while also limiting daytime heating that could push the minimum anomalously high. Distant tropical systems add steering flow uncertainty but are not expected to alter the local regime before resolution. Traders appear split between entrenched monsoon moderation favoring mid-20s outcomes and residual variance around model spread or localized downpours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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