Current short-term forecasts from sources like the Met Office and Météo-France point to a minimum temperature in Paris on August 25 near 15–17°C, driven by moderating Atlantic air following the recent heatwave and typical late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Nighttime lows hinge on factors including urban heat-island effects that retain warmth, wind patterns, humidity, and any thundery showers that could limit temperature drops. Historical August averages near 14–16°C provide context, with model consensus supporting these central outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. Updated runs from European and global models will refine probabilities as the date nears.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 25?
16°C 39%
17°C 29%
15°C 24%
18°C 6%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
24%
16°C
39%
17°C
29%
18°C
6%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 39%
17°C 29%
15°C 24%
18°C 6%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
24%
16°C
39%
17°C
29%
18°C
6%
19°C
6%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from sources like the Met Office and Météo-France point to a minimum temperature in Paris on August 25 near 15–17°C, driven by moderating Atlantic air following the recent heatwave and typical late-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover. Nighttime lows hinge on factors including urban heat-island effects that retain warmth, wind patterns, humidity, and any thundery showers that could limit temperature drops. Historical August averages near 14–16°C provide context, with model consensus supporting these central outcomes over cooler or warmer extremes. Updated runs from European and global models will refine probabilities as the date nears.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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