Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Toronto’s highest temperature on August 25 stems primarily from the latest Environment Canada and GFS ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture limiting peak heating. Afternoon model guidance has trended slightly cooler over the past 24–48 hours, reducing upside risk above 26°C while keeping the distribution centered near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any weak frontal passage and diurnal mixing depth, with next model cycles and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
24°C 49%
25°C 30%
23°C 11%
26°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
11%
24°C
49%
25°C
30%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 30%
23°C 11%
26°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
19°C or below
$141 KL.
<1%
20°C
$141 KL.
1%
21°C
$61 KL.
1%
22°C
$94 KL.
4%
23°C
$370 KL.
11%
24°C
$724 KL.
49%
25°C
$152 KL.
30%
26°C
$109 KL.
6%
27°C
$81 KL.
1%
28°C
$124 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$180 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Toronto’s highest temperature on August 25 stems primarily from the latest Environment Canada and GFS ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture limiting peak heating. Afternoon model guidance has trended slightly cooler over the past 24–48 hours, reducing upside risk above 26°C while keeping the distribution centered near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any weak frontal passage and diurnal mixing depth, with next model cycles and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,179Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Toronto’s highest temperature on August 25 stems primarily from the latest Environment Canada and GFS ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture limiting peak heating. Afternoon model guidance has trended slightly cooler over the past 24–48 hours, reducing upside risk above 26°C while keeping the distribution centered near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any weak frontal passage and diurnal mixing depth, with next model cycles and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,179Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 24–25°C for Toronto’s highest temperature on August 25 stems primarily from the latest Environment Canada and GFS ensemble runs showing a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow, limited cloud cover, and modest boundary-layer moisture limiting peak heating. Afternoon model guidance has trended slightly cooler over the past 24–48 hours, reducing upside risk above 26°C while keeping the distribution centered near seasonal norms of 25–27°C. Key variables still in play include exact timing of any weak frontal passage and diurnal mixing depth, with next model cycles and surface observations expected to refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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