Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 12–14°C, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 37.5% and 34% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Subtle differences arise from variable cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the precise timing of any frontal passage that could moderate or enhance the urban heat island. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 15°C, yet current model spreads highlight genuine forecast uncertainty from initialization errors and parameterization of surface fluxes. Updated runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift positioning toward resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
14°C 35%
12°C 32%
15°C 27%
17°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
21%
12°C
32%
13°C
22%
14°C
35%
15°C
27%
16°C
24%
17°C
26%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
14°C 35%
12°C 32%
15°C 27%
17°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$135 KL.
3%
10°C
$46 KL.
3%
11°C
$5 KL.
21%
12°C
$0 KL.
32%
13°C
$0 KL.
22%
14°C
$0 KL.
35%
15°C
$0 KL.
27%
16°C
$0 KL.
24%
17°C
$0 KL.
26%
18°C
$155 KL.
3%
19°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 12–14°C, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 37.5% and 34% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Subtle differences arise from variable cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the precise timing of any frontal passage that could moderate or enhance the urban heat island. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 15°C, yet current model spreads highlight genuine forecast uncertainty from initialization errors and parameterization of surface fluxes. Updated runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift positioning toward resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$346Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 12–14°C, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 37.5% and 34% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Subtle differences arise from variable cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the precise timing of any frontal passage that could moderate or enhance the urban heat island. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 15°C, yet current model spreads highlight genuine forecast uncertainty from initialization errors and parameterization of surface fluxes. Updated runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift positioning toward resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$346Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle near 12–14°C, with trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 37.5% and 34% implied probabilities for those outcomes. Subtle differences arise from variable cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer wind speeds, and the precise timing of any frontal passage that could moderate or enhance the urban heat island. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 15°C, yet current model spreads highlight genuine forecast uncertainty from initialization errors and parameterization of surface fluxes. Updated runs and local observations over the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift positioning toward resolution thresholds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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