National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Miami-Dade County on August 25 project highs in the lower 90s under mostly sunny skies with an afternoon chance of showers and thunderstorms, heat indices reaching 105°F. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-August South Florida conditions where sea-breeze convergence and convective clouds often cap maximum temperatures near climatological averages around 90–91°F. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from this pattern, with moderate easterly flow and elevated humidity suppressing stronger heating, while historical data indicate rare excursions above 93°F without atypical ridging. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on August 25?
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 5%
94-95°F 5%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 42%
88-89°F 5%
94-95°F 5%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
42%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Miami-Dade County on August 25 project highs in the lower 90s under mostly sunny skies with an afternoon chance of showers and thunderstorms, heat indices reaching 105°F. This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 90–93°F outcomes, reflecting typical late-August South Florida conditions where sea-breeze convergence and convective clouds often cap maximum temperatures near climatological averages around 90–91°F. Recent model runs show no significant deviation from this pattern, with moderate easterly flow and elevated humidity suppressing stronger heating, while historical data indicate rare excursions above 93°F without atypical ridging. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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