Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest cooling trend for Ankara on August 25, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture advection. This setup aligns with late-August climatology where average highs hover near 32°C, yet recent model runs show tighter clustering around the lower end of the typical 30–35°C envelope due to slightly cooler upstream air masses. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52.5%) to exactly 31°C because official guidance and real-time observational trends favor this outcome over warmer scenarios, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations. Minor shifts in boundary-layer humidity or wind could still alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 25?
31°C 53%
30°C 23%
32°C 21%
29°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
23%
31°C
53%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
30°C 23%
32°C 21%
29°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$50 KL.
<1%
27°C
$128 KL.
1%
28°C
$128 KL.
1%
29°C
$112 KL.
4%
30°C
$486 KL.
23%
31°C
$559 KL.
53%
32°C
$191 KL.
21%
33°C
$137 KL.
4%
34°C
$58 KL.
1%
35°C
$104 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$300 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest cooling trend for Ankara on August 25, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture advection. This setup aligns with late-August climatology where average highs hover near 32°C, yet recent model runs show tighter clustering around the lower end of the typical 30–35°C envelope due to slightly cooler upstream air masses. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52.5%) to exactly 31°C because official guidance and real-time observational trends favor this outcome over warmer scenarios, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations. Minor shifts in boundary-layer humidity or wind could still alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,254Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest cooling trend for Ankara on August 25, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture advection. This setup aligns with late-August climatology where average highs hover near 32°C, yet recent model runs show tighter clustering around the lower end of the typical 30–35°C envelope due to slightly cooler upstream air masses. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52.5%) to exactly 31°C because official guidance and real-time observational trends favor this outcome over warmer scenarios, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations. Minor shifts in boundary-layer humidity or wind could still alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,254Ngày kết thúc
Aug 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a modest cooling trend for Ankara on August 25, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 31–33°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and moisture advection. This setup aligns with late-August climatology where average highs hover near 32°C, yet recent model runs show tighter clustering around the lower end of the typical 30–35°C envelope due to slightly cooler upstream air masses. Traders assign the highest implied probability (52.5%) to exactly 31°C because official guidance and real-time observational trends favor this outcome over warmer scenarios, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum reported by Turkish meteorological stations. Minor shifts in boundary-layer humidity or wind could still alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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