Recent forecasts for Paris on August 26, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with a risk of showers or isolated storms overnight, driven by a moist, unsettled airmass. These conditions limit radiative cooling at the surface by trapping longwave radiation, raising minimum temperatures compared to clear-sky scenarios that allow greater heat loss. Trader consensus clusters on 17–19°C because model runs show modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 15–18°C) provides context, but current synoptic patterns favor milder readings. Updated National Meteorological Agency guidance or refined model outputs overnight will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 24-hour minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
18°C 34%
19°C 27%
17°C 24%
16°C 11%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
24%
18°C
34%
19°C
27%
20°C
9%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
18°C 34%
19°C 27%
17°C 24%
16°C 11%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
11%
17°C
24%
18°C
34%
19°C
27%
20°C
9%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Paris on August 26, 2026, indicate an overnight low near 18–19°C under mostly cloudy skies with a risk of showers or isolated storms overnight, driven by a moist, unsettled airmass. These conditions limit radiative cooling at the surface by trapping longwave radiation, raising minimum temperatures compared to clear-sky scenarios that allow greater heat loss. Trader consensus clusters on 17–19°C because model runs show modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology (typical lows 15–18°C) provides context, but current synoptic patterns favor milder readings. Updated National Meteorological Agency guidance or refined model outputs overnight will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the 24-hour minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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