Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris's August 27 maximum near 28°C, driven by a warm southwesterly flow under mostly overcast skies and scattered convective activity that limits peak insolation. This positioning reflects the balance between lingering warm advection and cloud cover plus thunderstorm potential, which caps readings below 30°C while supporting values above the 24°C climatological average. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C because minor differences in storm timing, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon clearing could shift the observed high by 1–2°C, with next model updates and surface observations providing the final resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 27?
28°C 32%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
26°C 12%
$86,145 KL.
$86,145 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
12%
27°C
21%
28°C
32%
29°C
24%
30°C or higher
9%
28°C 32%
29°C 24%
27°C 21%
26°C 12%
$86,145 KL.
$86,145 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
12%
27°C
21%
28°C
32%
29°C
24%
30°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models place Paris's August 27 maximum near 28°C, driven by a warm southwesterly flow under mostly overcast skies and scattered convective activity that limits peak insolation. This positioning reflects the balance between lingering warm advection and cloud cover plus thunderstorm potential, which caps readings below 30°C while supporting values above the 24°C climatological average. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28°C because minor differences in storm timing, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon clearing could shift the observed high by 1–2°C, with next model updates and surface observations providing the final resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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